In a post below, I gave a very rudimentary analysis of why President Obama won. Professor Larry Sabato gives his take. I would trust him, if I were you..
"There were three giant demographic shifts that powered [Barack Obama's election]: The young broke more than 2-1 Democratic, and it was an intense preference unlikely to fade quickly. As this group ages and replaces older voters, Democrats will benefit even more since this group's turnout will go up. The proportion of minority voters (black, Hispanic, and Asian) shot up and is likely to climb consistently every four years (mainly because of Hispanics). Democrats get about three-quarters of the votes of minorities, taken as a collective group. Americans with post-graduate educations have begun to move firmly to the Democrats, not just because of Bush and the economy but also because of the GOP's conservative stance on social issues (abortion, gay rights, etc.) Republicans will be in the wilderness for a while, whatever they do. . . . There are many ways to increase their attractiveness, but one essential ingredient is to de-emphasize social issues -- as unhappy as that may make some fundamentalist Christians" -- Larry J. Sabato, professor at the University of Virginia, in his new book "The Year of Obama: How Barack Obama Won the White House."
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